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Talcott’s Week 4 Predictions: Thursday Night Football

by Greg Talcott

Last Week: 14-2

Season: 29-18

Last week was nearly a clean sweep if not for Brandon Marshall’s “Worst Play in History” against the Eagles and the Chargers not bothering to show up for their game in Minnesota.  The biggest takeaway from last week?  Andrew Luck has become a “best matchup” play QB if you have a solid QB2 on your roster until he proves otherwise.  Luck has become a full blown turnover machine and the rest of his numbers aren’t nearly high enough to offset the negative impact on his production.  Honestly, if I have Derek Carr or Andy Dalton level talent on my bench and Luck as my QB1 I am benching him until his performance improves.  The entire team, most notably Andre Johnson and Frank Gore are also collateral damage from a fantasy standpoint with the abysmal start for Luck so much so that Johnson should be sent to the bench and Gore considered a weak Flex play.   The Indianapolis Colts falling from Super Bowl contender to “slightly” better than the Bears has to to be the most shocking story of the first three weeks of the NFL season.

With that, the Thursday Night Game:

Baltimore at Pittsburgh:  (Start: Antonio Brown, Le’Veon Bell, Steve Smith Sr., )

Speaking of disappointment; the injury to Ben Roethlisberger is a devastating blow to the Steelers chances this season and will have a major impact on the production of fantasy stars like Antonio Brown and Le’Veon Bell.  Unless you are a pit bull, you are not exactly afraid of Michael Vick beating you.  Taking a peek at his statistics, the last time Vick played well was in 2010.  Like other team killing QB’s, Vick turns the ball over constantly including his brief appearance last week.  Vick has never been anything close to accurate, his arm strength is not the same, and he is considerably slower at age 35.  Teams are going to force Michael Vick to beat them with his arm and he is highly unlikely to deliver even with the weapons the Steelers have.  This game represents a great opportunity for the Ravens to get their first win of the season by taking advantage of a team missing their leader.  Additionally, the Steelers will still be without Ryan Shazier, leaving their sketchy defense with a big hole.                                          Expect Flacco and the Ravens to win on the road 28-14 over Pittsburgh.

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