As every year comes and goes, we have a new batch of RB’s to avoid in the draft. In this breakdown, I will choose 9 RB’s that are going too early according to their ADP’s (average draft position). These RB’s are too risky to take this year and could seriously hurt your chances at a fantasy championship this year. Let’s get right into it…
Aaron Jones (GB):
Aaron Jones is coming off a huge year where he scored 19 TD’s (16 rushing, 3 receiving) with 1,084 rushing yards, and 474 receiving yards (49 receptions). The main reason why he ranked so high last year was because of the touchdowns. 19 touchdowns is equivalent to 114 fantasy points which was 42% of his points in standard leagues which isn’t reliable from year to year. The Packers also drafted AJ Dillon from Boston College in the second round of the draft and HC Matt LaFleur has expressed his interest in using Jones, Jamaal Williams, AND another back (which now appears to be Dillon). This will lower Jones’ ceiling and hurt his chances to be a stud RB1 in fantasy this year, like he is being drafted as.
Mark Ingram II (BAL):
The Ravens have reinvented the rushing attack and added JK Dobbins in this year’s draft when they already had a crowded backfield in Ingram, Gus Edwards, Justice Hill, and now Dobbins. This will hurt Ingram’s fantasy impact as he will have fewer opportunities to gain yardage and score touchdowns. I am doubting he can repeat last year where he was RB8 and scored 10 TD’s.
Le’Veon Bell (NYJ):
Bell’s first year in New York wasn’t quite what we are used to considering how good he’s been in Pittsburgh. Bell ranked really low at RB21 last year with the Jets inability to score and provide open running lanes that Pittsburgh provided for him. Bell only averaged 3.22 yards per carry last year and failed to eclipse 1,000 rushing yards as well. Adam Gase has also said how he disliked the move the Jets made to sign Bell and there could even be a possibility the Jets trade Bell this year. The Jets offense won’t be able to give Bell tons of scoring opportunities and he’s at a high risk to rush for less than 4 yards a carry again.
Melvin Gordon (DEN):
Austin Ekeler (LAC):
The departure of Phillip Rivers hurts Ekeler’s fantasy upside, especially in PPR considering how often Rivers throws to his running backs. Ekeler was incredibly efficient receiving the ball out of the backfield, but with the QB change to the new rookie Herbert or veteran backup Tyrod Taylor, it will be harder for Ekeler to sustain that crazy high yards per reception that he did before.